In reply to Post #103
6.05 royal rendezvous e/w 16-1
6.05 royal rendezvous e/w 16-1
2000 day.
I've had a couple of punts today. Magna Grecia in the 2000 itself. Ryan is on the wrong one IMO, which makes the market for MG. I'd make this horse a 3-1/7-2 shot. 5-1 is to big. He's been backed accordingly. He's an e/w bet to nothing at 5's. Most of these, including the fav, are not going to stay 1m today. This horse will. I've had a saver on Madhmoon in the same race at 8-1.
1.50. Power of Darkness, 7-2. Should be fav, I'd make this horse a 5-2 shot today. False favourite, who maybe well handicapped, but no run under his belt, and never run at HQ.
Good luck all today if you are having a punt. No crying if they both come last... I will not be
I've had a couple of punts today. Magna Grecia in the 2000 itself. Ryan is on the wrong one IMO, which makes the market for MG. I'd make this horse a 3-1/7-2 shot. 5-1 is to big. He's been backed accordingly. He's an e/w bet to nothing at 5's. Most of these, including the fav, are not going to stay 1m today. This horse will. I've had a saver on Madhmoon in the same race at 8-1.
1.50. Power of Darkness, 7-2. Should be fav, I'd make this horse a 5-2 shot today. False favourite, who maybe well handicapped, but no run under his belt, and never run at HQ.
Good luck all today if you are having a punt. No crying if they both come last... I will not be
In reply to Post #105
4.10 don armado e/w 25-1.
4.10 don armado e/w 25-1.
In reply to Post #106
3.10 se mo laoch e/w 16-1
3.10 se mo laoch e/w 16-1
Since I posted an hour and a half ago. The price for Power Of Darkness has collapsed. 7-2, into 9-4. That's a third nigh on it has shortened. The money has caught up with the system. I have a lot on, at 7-2, and some big win doubles the pair.
As mentioned earlier by Cramthenet... If I was a 'back to lay' punter... I'd be laying POD right now at 9-4 and 2-1 on the exchanges... For a guaranteed win, without a horse even running. I'd make a fair few quid even allowing for fees. Even more if it goes 7-4. That is not my style or game though. But it is there, if it was.
If you buy at a good price, you can sell, at a profitable price. That's life. Not just gee gees.
I struggle to get the money I want on early enough, in other peoples names at the right prices. It's hard work keeping accounts open. To be a full time pro, you'd have to give it your full attention. I would not want to do that, and never would.
As mentioned earlier by Cramthenet... If I was a 'back to lay' punter... I'd be laying POD right now at 9-4 and 2-1 on the exchanges... For a guaranteed win, without a horse even running. I'd make a fair few quid even allowing for fees. Even more if it goes 7-4. That is not my style or game though. But it is there, if it was.
If you buy at a good price, you can sell, at a profitable price. That's life. Not just gee gees.
I struggle to get the money I want on early enough, in other peoples names at the right prices. It's hard work keeping accounts open. To be a full time pro, you'd have to give it your full attention. I would not want to do that, and never would.
In reply to Post #108
Glad someone else understand s the principle of back to lay as a way of insuring your bet. Lots of tricks available to punters to give yourself the best chance of making some profit.
2.20 wouldn't be the biggest surprise if ornate 66-1 outruns those odds.
Glad someone else understand s the principle of back to lay as a way of insuring your bet. Lots of tricks available to punters to give yourself the best chance of making some profit.
2.20 wouldn't be the biggest surprise if ornate 66-1 outruns those odds.
In reply to Post #109
1 Ornate
2.20 Newmarket (Race 2)
(Each Way Extra)
Live Stream 04/05/2019 6 Places
1/5 Odds
33/1
Placed
Another way you can swing things in your favour if you fancy one at a big price is to play for extra places. got 33-1 for ornate to finish top 6 which it did.
1 Ornate
2.20 Newmarket (Race 2)
(Each Way Extra)
Live Stream 04/05/2019 6 Places
1/5 Odds
33/1
Placed
Another way you can swing things in your favour if you fancy one at a big price is to play for extra places. got 33-1 for ornate to finish top 6 which it did.
In reply to Post #105
Went with Magna Grecia. Thanks Mark👍
Went with Magna Grecia. Thanks Mark👍
In reply to Post #111
You are welcome mate. I won more money on that horse, than I have ever won on any horse, ever before.
Today was such a great day. Voice has gone I screamed so hard through that last furlong. Nothing beats free bookie money, nothing at all. It's just the best money that there is.
That was a 5* punt that horse today. The market, was so wrong with the fav, how Magna Grecia went off at 11-2 is beyond me. It was double the price that it should have been. I just kept backing it, and they kept allowing me to as well today. Only because it was a big race. Happy days.
You are welcome mate. I won more money on that horse, than I have ever won on any horse, ever before.
Today was such a great day. Voice has gone I screamed so hard through that last furlong. Nothing beats free bookie money, nothing at all. It's just the best money that there is.
That was a 5* punt that horse today. The market, was so wrong with the fav, how Magna Grecia went off at 11-2 is beyond me. It was double the price that it should have been. I just kept backing it, and they kept allowing me to as well today. Only because it was a big race. Happy days.
Yesterday just got better and better.
Two of the biggest races of the flat season in the US & the UK. The 2000 guineas and the Kentucky Derby.... Both had big market mistakes. The Kentucky Derby last night, was a great example of a big market discrepancy. I know NOTHING about US racing. But there was a situation yesterday, where the well backed favourite in the US, Maximum Security... Was more than DOUBLE the price in the UK. Yesterday evening, this horse was 4-1 in the US and shortening... And 9-1 in the UK, everywhere...VALUE. I got £300 on in £50's, over six accounts. None of those accounts are in my name. Maximum Security won and was disqualified, I got paid out as first past the post, and got my money anyway.
I knew NOTHING about that horse.... I just know about markets, and mistakes that are made. If you are backing 4-1 shots, at 9-1... You will win lots of money in the long run. Luck will come and go, but math will override that in the long run. If you are buying houses, that are worth £500k, for £300k... You will make lots of money in the long run. It's pretty simple really. It's called mathematics.
Two of the biggest races of the flat season in the US & the UK. The 2000 guineas and the Kentucky Derby.... Both had big market mistakes. The Kentucky Derby last night, was a great example of a big market discrepancy. I know NOTHING about US racing. But there was a situation yesterday, where the well backed favourite in the US, Maximum Security... Was more than DOUBLE the price in the UK. Yesterday evening, this horse was 4-1 in the US and shortening... And 9-1 in the UK, everywhere...VALUE. I got £300 on in £50's, over six accounts. None of those accounts are in my name. Maximum Security won and was disqualified, I got paid out as first past the post, and got my money anyway.
I knew NOTHING about that horse.... I just know about markets, and mistakes that are made. If you are backing 4-1 shots, at 9-1... You will win lots of money in the long run. Luck will come and go, but math will override that in the long run. If you are buying houses, that are worth £500k, for £300k... You will make lots of money in the long run. It's pretty simple really. It's called mathematics.
View post on imgur.com
Today, in the 1000, at 3.35. I've backed Just Wonderful at 6-1.
I've also backed Flavius Titus, 2.55 at 5-1.
Good luck any of you who have a go today. Wish I was at Newmarket, and not at work!!
I've also backed Flavius Titus, 2.55 at 5-1.
Good luck any of you who have a go today. Wish I was at Newmarket, and not at work!!
In reply to Post #114
1.50 confessional ew 14-1
1.50 confessional ew 14-1
In reply to Post #115
good run placed at 16-1...............more free money
good run placed at 16-1...............more free money
In reply to Post #116
3.35 fun mac e/w 12 to 1
3.35 fun mac e/w 12 to 1
In reply to Post #116
Nice. I had a nice little EW bet on that horse yesterday. Good shout mate 🙂
Nice. I had a nice little EW bet on that horse yesterday. Good shout mate 🙂